Posts Tagged ‘ warren buffet ’

Real Estate 360 Live With Louis Cammarosano 4/23/12

On Monday April 23, 2012, Louis Cammarosano, General Manager of HomeGain, was a guest on the Real Estate 360 Live radio show on The Big Talker 1580 WHFS AM, hosted by Ryan Sloper.

Listen to the show.

Part 1 (14:40)

Ryan notes that the Fed is going to meet again next week and that many experts expect another round of quantitative easing. Louis thinks that the Fed won’t announce QE3 and that a lot of capital is flowing into the US as a result of the problems in Europe and that indeed many economists expect the US dollar to appreciate in value. Louis is not certain that is a well founded belief, but one that is prevalent.

Louis notes that an announcement of QE3 might cause a bit of a panic because it would be an admission that the recovery is not taking hold and oil prices would rise. Louis thinks that although the Fed may want to do QE3 they will probably hold off until after the election in November.  Louis notes that the average investor is either short on cash or can not save as interest rates are low so they put their money in the stock market which drives valuations higher.

Louis notes that if you really wanted a strong dollar you would want higher interest rates so people would save money and invest in treasuries, rather than the Fed printing money out of thin air to buy them and thereby devaluing the dollar. Ryan notes that the dollar is appreciating vs the Euro. Louis notes that the dollar is not however strengthening against gold silver and oil. Louis notes that the amount of gold being mined is not as great as the amount of money being printed.

Louis and Ryan note the rising rental market. Louis notes that college grads will also put pressure on the rental market as most won’t be in a position to buy homes as they have student loans to pay and poor job prospects and will more often than not be renting.  Louis notes that the American Dream of home ownership is in jeopardy for young people.

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Posted by: Louis Cammarosano on May 1st, 2012 under HomeGain Radio, HomeGain on Real Estate Radio, Louis Cammarosano on Real Estate Radio

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Real Estate 360 Live with Louis Cammarosano 3/19/12

On Monday March 19, 2012, Louis Cammarosano, General Manager of HomeGain, was a guest on the Real Estate 360 Live radio show on The Big Talker 1580 WHFS AM, hosted by Ryan Sloper.

Listen to the show.

Part 1 (14:56)

Louis notes that interest rates are artificially manipulated as are the unemployment and inflation rates and that the economy is not good. Louis notes that there is still a lot of debt in the system and until that debt gets flushed out of the system there won’t be much of a recovery. Louis notes that the interest rates are low not for the benefit of the consumers who want to borrow but for the benefit of the banks and the Federal government who need interest rates to remain low.

Louis notes that low interest rates force savers and investor to put money into the stock market and other risk assets as bank deposits pay less than even the official stated rate of inflation. Louis notes that the gold silver and real estate markets are not as liquid. Louis says there is a bubble in the bond market but NOT in gold and silver as gold and silver are not overbought. Louis notes that the average person probably could not name a few gold or silver mining stocks.

Louis also notes that the average person also does’nt have much money to invest. Louis discusses unintended consequences. Louis predicts that central banks will continue to print money-i.e. kicking the can down the road, which eventually is a dead end. Louis notes you can’t solve a debt problem by issuing more debt. Louis notes that central planning and officious intermeddling in the market does not work.

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Posted by: Louis Cammarosano on March 24th, 2012 under Louis Cammarosano on Real Estate Radio

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Real Estate 360 Live With Louis Cammarosano 2/27/12

On Monday February 27, 2012, Louis Cammarosano, General Manager of HomeGain, was a guest on the Real Estate 360 Live radio show on The Big Talker 1580 WHFS AM, hosted by Ryan Sloper.

Listen to the show.

Part 1 (14:27)

Louis and Ryan discuss the $5 billion suit against the banks for wrongfully foreclosing on homeowners. Louis notes a moral hazzard is created when companies and individuals are bailed out. Louis notes that when you keep interest rates artificially low borrowers have no incentive to pay off debt earlier and no incentive to save. Low interest rates urge consumption and borrowing. Louis notes that rising gas prices have little to do with speculators or problems in the Middle East but rather the decline in the value of the dollar.

Louis notes that in 1964 a gallon of gas cost $.30. In 1964 a US quarter was 90% silver. Today a 1964 quarter is worth $6.43 (MORE than the price of a gallon of gas-at today’s price of about $4.25 a gallon) a 1964 US dime is worth $2.50, so the  price of gas has gone up less vs the dollar than silver. Ryan notes that Warren Buffet is a stock expert but not necessarily an expert in real estate.

Louis notes that its probable that the local Realtor knows far more about real estate than Warren Buffet. Louis notes that many people believe that Warren Buffet’s views on taxes are somehow more valid because he has made a lot of money in stocks. Louis notes that sadly, the people equate wealth with intelligence.

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Posted by: Louis Cammarosano on March 12th, 2012 under Louis Cammarosano on Real Estate Radio

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National Mortgage Rates Report: March 10, 2008

Warren Buffett describes his investment philosophy as being fearful when everyone else is greedy and greedy when everyone is fearful.

Today, fear abounds in the mortgage bonds market and that is driving mortgage rates higher.

Rampant fear is why I’m suggesting that borrowers float their mortgage rate. I had been advising borrowers to lock loans, until all hell broke loose, on March 6,2007. Investors are worried that the mortgage bonds they hold will be worthless.

This market is a lot like the junk bond market of the late 80s. Those that panicked lost money; those that kept a cool head, profited.

Today a 30 year fixed rate loan is offered at 6.25%, up from 5.875%, and a 7 year ARM is at 6.125%, up from 4.875%. Continue reading this post

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Posted by: Brian Brady on March 11th, 2008 under Financing, Mortgage and Home Loans

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