On Monday April 9, 2012, Louis Cammarosano, General Manager of HomeGain, was a guest on the Real Estate 360 Live radio show on The Big Talker 1580 WNEW AM, hosted by Ryan Sloper.
Listen to the show.
Part 1 (14:46)
Ryan and Louis discuss the jobs report. Ryan notes that the unemployment rate actually dipped even though more people are unemployed as the participation rate in the labor force has dropped. Louis notes that once a worker is classified as no longer in the labor force, they are no longer considered “unemployed”.
Louis notes the disconnect between companies doing well and consumers doing well. Louis notes that the stock market is up in part because companies with a lot of cash are purchasing their own stock. Louis also notes that companies are in a different position than consumers as many companies are not in debt and have huge cash balances while many consumers have little cash and large debt balances.
Louis notes that Apple’s over performance makes the overall market appear to be doing better than it is. Louis notes that perhaps Apple is overvalued. Ryan notes that many companies have their cash overseas. Louis notes that companies also hold US treasuries and that when they decide to free up their cash, they will have to sell their US Treasuries which will put downward pressure on those securities. Louis notes that 61% of US Treasuries last year were bought by the Federal Reserve.
Louis notes that the US government engages in deficit spending and relies upon the Federal Reserve to print money to purchase the US Treasuries to fund the spending. Louis notes that up to 20-30 years ago most of the US Treasuries were bought domestically by US companies and individuals.
More recently China and Japan bought large percentages of US Treasury issuances, however in the past two or three years they have cut their purchases of US Treasuries. Louis notes that the US government has increased spending each year which means it relies more heavily on debt issuances to fund its spending-debt issuances that are increasingly purchased by the Federal Reserve Bank. Louis notes that if the Federal Reserve was not buying the debt, interest rates would be much higher.
Ryan notes that the Federal Reserve can’t continue to be the purchaser of last resort forever. Louis notes that the Atlantic is calling Ben Bernanke a hero and that Paul Krugman is arguing that inflation is too low! Louis notes that Krugman thinks that because money is cheap that we should be spending more of it. Louis argues that is akin to telling someone the morning after who is hungover to have more beers because they are cheaper in the morning than they were last night. Louis notes that the less money you make the greater percentage food and energy are as part of your budget.
Part 2 (12:33)
Ryan notes that the 10 year note dropped last week and expects rates to remain low. Louis predicts that the CPI will be low but the non core inflation rate will spike up. Louis notes that Ben Bernanke has said that low interest rates did not play a part in the housing bubble and is now saying that higher food and energy prices are temporary.
Louis notes that politically its better to say that issues with respect to inflation and unemployment are temporary rather than structural. Louis notes that central planning doesn’t work and cites the Great Depression that lasted 13 years. Louis notes that locking in your cost of shelter for 30 years with a long term fixed mortgage is a bargain.
Louis notes the irony of US policies that kept interest rates low to get Americans into homes has backfired as now that the market has crashed and the dollar depreciated as a result, Americans have lost their homes and foreigners are now buying them!
Part 3 (12:15)
Ryan and Louis continue to discuss the impact of foreclosures on the market. Ryan notes the the DC metro area does not have the same foreclosure issues as places like Florida and Arizona. Louis notes that banks are not in any rush to foreclose as their balance sheets will take a hit when they do so. Louis also notes that the banks don’t want to put too many homes on the market at once as it will depress prices.
Louis and Ryan note that the Fed has a lot of power beyond their original mandate. Ryan notes that Ron Paul is raising the US debt issues but the media is ignoring him. Louis notes that the normal market interest rates will be higher in five years. Ryan notes that the Fed purchases 61% of US treasuries. Louis notes that the spending of the US government continues to increase and that no one but Ron Paul has proposed real spending cuts.
As a result as the US debt continues to increase and there are fewer buyers, the Fed will have to be the buyer of last resort. Louis notes that the whole world currently has faith in the US dollar but speculates that this may not last. Louis notes that gold and silver have served as monetary metals for thousands of years and that FIAT currencies rarely last more that 40 years.
Part 4 (11:34)
Ryan discusses how to get approved for a loan. Capacity, credit, cash and collateral are the 4 “Cs”. Louis notes what you will find on HomeGain.com-home values, find a realtor, homes for sale.
Listen to Federal Reserve Money Printing on You Tube
Listen to other Real Estate Radio shows with Louis Cammarosano
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of March 26, 2012
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of March 19, 2012
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of March 12, 2012
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of February 27, 2012
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of February 13, 2012
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of February 6, 2012
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of January 30, 2012
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of January 23, 2012
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of January 9, 2012
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of November 14, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of November 7, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of October 31, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of October 24, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of October 17, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of October 10, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of October 3, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of September 26, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of September 19, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of August 29, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of August 15, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of August 8, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of July 25, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of July 11, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of June 27, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of June 20, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of June 13, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of June 6, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of May 23, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of May 16, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of May 9, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of May 2, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of April 25, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of April 18, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of April 11, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of March 21, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of March 14, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of February 28, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of January 24, 2011
Listen to the Real Estate Radio show of November 29, 2010
Listen to the complete archive of Louis Cammarosano on Real Estate Radio shows
Real estate radio interviews also available on Youtube
About the Real Estate Radio Network
The Real Estate Radio Network® is a nationwide alliance of real estate related professionals with a common objective: delivering the timely truth about local Real Estate Markets over local radio stations.
The Real Estate Radio Network brings hard-working and ethical professionals in a community together. We provide the media and forum necessary for Consumers to learn the truth about important aspects of their financial life, which is mostly centered around their biggest investment, the home they live in. The Real Estate Radio Network® brings each radio program to the audience with a “live and local” show hosted by well-respected members in the local Real Estate and Financial community.
About Ryan Sloper
As a highly motivated mortgage consultant, with more than nine years of mortgage lending experience, Ryan Sloper has acquired a solid understanding of the local and national real estate markets. Ryan has been investing in residential and commercial real estate for the last 5 years, where he has first hand knowledge of what it takes to be a successful real estate investor. Ryan also hosts a weekly radio show, Real Estate Radio, which airs every Monday on 1580 AM in the Washington, DC Metro Area. Real Estate Radio also streams live nationally @ http://whfs.cbslocal.com/shows/real-estate-radio-with-ryan-sloper/
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