HomeGain Releases 2nd Quarter 2012 National Home Values Survey Results

Posted by: Louis Cammarosano on June 7th, 2012

Forty-eight percent of real estate professionals expect home values to increase in coming six months, up from 11 percent last quarter; Sixty-eight percent disapprove of Obama’s performance as President; Mitt Romney favored over Barack Obama by both real estate professionals and homeowners; Ron Paul pulls 16% in a three way preference poll

HomeGain, one of the first companies to provide free instant home valuations online, announced the results of its nationwide second quarter 2012 home values survey. Over 400 real estate agents and brokers and over 1,700 homeowners were surveyed. We also released the regional results of the second quarter 2012 HomeGain home values survey.

Real estate professionals continue to be more optimistic about the direction of home values than homeowners. Forty-eight percent of real estate professionals expect home values to increase, up from 37 percent last quarter. Twenty-seven percent of homeowners expect home values to increase, up from 25 percent last quarter.

Eighty-two percent of real estate professionals and 59 percent of homeowners think home values will increase in the next two years. In contrast, just six percent of real estate professionals and 15 percent of home owners think home values will decrease in the next two years. Twelve percent of real estate professionals and 26 percent of homeowners think home values will stay the same in the next two years.

Fourteen percent of real estate professionals expect home values to decrease in the next six months, down from 22 percent from last quarter. Twenty-four percent of homeowners expect home values to decrease in the next six months, down from 25 percent from last quarter.

Thirty-eight percent of real estate professionals and 49 percent of homeowners believe home values will stay the same in the next six months.

According to surveyed agents and brokers, 77 percent of homeowners believe their homes are worth more than the recommended agent listing price. In contrast, 58 percent of home buyers believe homes are overpriced.

“Optimism among real estate professionals spiked in the second quarter. Real estate professionals are optimistic about home prices in the short term and especially optimistic in the coming two years with 82 percent of real estate professionals and 59 percent of homeowners expecting prices to rise.” said Louis Cammarosano, General Manager of HomeGain.

Top 10 States Where Real Estate Agents and Homeowners Think Home Prices Will Go Up in the Next Six Months:


Top 10 States Where Real Estate Agents and Homeowners Think Home Prices Will Go Down In the Next Six Months:


Fifty-three percent of agents and brokers surveyed indicated that they “strongly disapproved” and 13 percent “somewhat disapproved” of Barack Obama’s performance as President, earning him a 66 percent disapproval rating, an increase of one percent in the disapproval rating of agents and brokers surveyed in the second quarter of 2011. In the first quarter of 2012, the President also had a 66 percent disapproval rating among agents and brokers.

Forty-six percent of homeowners “strongly disapproved” and 13 percent “somewhat disapproved” of the President’s performance, earning him a 59 percent disapproval rating. The President had a 56 percent disapproval rating last quarter among surveyed homeowners with 41 percent “strongly disapproving.” The Rasmussen Daily Presidential Approval Index taken during the same period as the HomeGain Second Quarter 2012 Home Values Survey indicated that the President’s average disapproval rating was 50 percent with an average of 40 percent “strongly disapproving” of his performance.

Top 10 States Where Real Estate Agents and Homeowners Approve of Barack Obama’s Performance as President:


Top 10 States Where Real Estate Agents and Homeowners Disapprove of Barack Obama’s Performance as President:


The survey was conducted from May 21 – June 1, 2012.

View all prior HomeGain national and state home prices surveys.

Set forth below are the results of the second quarter 2012 and first quarter 2012 national home values surveys as well as the results of the second quarter 2011 survey. Also set forth below for selected questions is the national home owner response data for the first quarter of 2012. Click on each question to see complete results:

Questions and National Results:

  1. Have home prices increased, decreased or stayed the same in the last year?
  2. On average, what do homeowners believe that their home is worth?
  3. How do buyers feel that homes for sale are priced?
  4. What is the average difference in price between what sellers believe their home to be worth and the amount at which the home gets listed?
  5. What is the average difference in price between what a home is listed at and what a home sells for?
  6. In the next six months, will the values of homes in your market increase, decrease or stay the same?
  7. In the next two years, will the values of homes in your market increase, decrease or stay the same?
  8. What percentage of homes for sale are foreclosures in your area?
  9. What is the average home price in your area?
  10. What percentage of your clients are first-time buyers?
  11. How do you think Barack Obama is performing in his role as President?
  12. If the Presidential election were held today, who would you vote for?
  13. If the Presidential election were held today, who would you vote for? (Part 2)


Question 1:

See regional results

Commentary From Question 1 — Have home prices increased, decreased or stayed the same in the last year?

“The market on Maryland’s Eastern Shore is better than the past couple of years. However the values are still declining slightly.”

“Over the last 5 years, 30 to 40 % decrease in value if any sale occurs.” – Homeowner feedback

“Housing market in our area is very good. Values are going up at a slow to medium rate.” – Homeowner feedback

“Home values are down in my area, almost to what I purchased in 1995. Several foreclosures going less than $100,000.” – Homeowner feedback

“Housing values are down, but have slightly rebounded.” – Homeowner feedback

Home value has stayed the same because of improvements (investments) made.” – Homeowner feedback

Our home’s value decreased in such a large magnitude, it’s impossible to do anything with it without losing more money.” – Homeowner feedback

Question 2:

Overall, 77% of home sellers believe their homes are worth more than their agents’ recommended selling price.

See regional results

Question 3:

Overall, 58% of surveyed agents and brokers indicated that their home buyer clients think homes for sale are overpriced.

See regional results

Question 4:

See regional results

Question 5:

Overall, nationwide, agents indicate that 88% of homes sell for less than the price they are listed at.

See regional results

Commentary From Question 5 — What is the average difference in price between what the home is listed at and what the home sells for?

“Just sold my house for 169k. That’s the same as two houses near me, but I just spent 10k renovating the basement bath/family room and updated everything else in the house. At best I broke even on my 10k renovation.” – Homeowner feedback

Question 6:

Overall, the majority of agents and brokers think home prices will increase in the next six months.

See regional results

Commentary From Question 6 — In the next six months, will the values of homes in your market increase, decrease or stay the same?

“Our market is being affected by national builders who build a cheaper product which is beginning to devalue homes in our market.”

“I believe we are at or near the bottom of real estate prices. I have begun investing (again) in single family homes for rental in several markets.” – Homeowner feedback

“Home values may stay the same but the real value based on the gobal economy will decline as the value of the dollar declines.” – Homeowner feedback

“The reason I expect my home value to increase is because of the ND oil boom. It has NOTHING to do with the economy of the country that I consider to be going downhill.” – Homeowner feedback

“Home prices will continue to decline, and when the next round of QE hits, the dollar will also further decline. This pattern will continue until the dollar collapses. At that time, regarding homes, most of America either will be sold to foreigners at prices that look outlandishly cheap to them, or Americans will be able to pay off their homes because their salaries will be more than they borrowed to buy the house.” – Homeowner feedback

“New homes/condos being built all the time here. Prices haven’t quite climbed back to 2008, but they’re headed in the right direction.” – Homeowner feedback

Home values may stay the same but the real value based on the gobal economy will decline as the value of the dollar declines.” – Homeowner feedback

Question 7:

Overall, the majority of agents and brokers think home prices will increase in the next two years.

See regional results

Question 8:

See regional results

Question 9:

See regional results

Question 10:

See regional results

Question 11:

Overall, 68% of surveyed real estate agents and brokers and 59% of homeowners disapprove of President Obama’s performance.

See regional results

Commentary From Question 11 — How do you think Barack Obama is performing in his role as President?

“The current administration and congress need to be removed for housing to stabilize. However, the opponents may not be much better but I am willing to risk it as the current administration has failed.”

“President Obama has fought against all odds and evilness to do what is right for all of America’s citizens. Never has there been such a mood of hatred against an American President as we are experiencing Now!”

“Obama has done a lot for Healthcare as well as getting us out of the Middle East. I have a son in the service and appreciate this greatly. We are not the world’s police. Stop sacrificing American Soldiers for someone else’s fight.” – Homeowner feedback

“I believe President Obama is the one who will get this economy back on track. We soon forget how four years ago the republican administration bankrupt this country through a needless war in Iraq, and unregulated Wall Street. This President is not God but is the best alternative.” – Homeowner feedback

“If I thought Ron Paul would have a chance, I would vote for him because, (even tho I personally do not use Marajuana, I feel it should be legalized, & I think he would push for it) but since I don’t think he has a chance in Hell, Obama is my choice. I would NEVER vote for Romney – or any of the Republicans that have been running lately. Every time one gets in office – they put us so far in the red, it takes years to straighten out the mess! I’ll give Obama 4 more years to finish what he’s been trying to do – and has been held up by the Republican senate & congress. If he wins, and we get a Democratic majority in the fall, I think we’ll see big changes- for the better, of course!” – Homeowner feedback

“The President & Congress, need to get it together and ease the worries of the working class.” – Homeowner feedback

“This program has really helped us save our home but a lot of what he’s tried to do is always blocked by the Republicans even when it used to be their policies. Just because Obama’s name is on it, they will reject it. He will win a second term.” – Homeowner feedback

“I am sure there is a strong correlation between people who believe the value of their home has and will increase with those who believe that Obama has done a good job so far as president.” – Homeowner feedback

I think Obama needs to be impeached!! This has been done in the past to a president who did no where near what this idiot has done to this country!” – Homeowner feedback

Question 12:

See regional results

Agent Commentary From Question 12 — If the Presidential election were held today, who would you vote for?

“With the negative economy, I believe the market will recover more quickly if there is a change in the Administration at the Federal Government level, giving people more hope.”

“A change to Mitt Romney can give us a major stimulus since nearly 1/2 of our clients are terrified by the current president and the excess spending and corruption that is attached to it.”

“Tough to choose either one, but I’d prefer Donald Trump to solve issues of the country.”

“I really don’t like any of the candidates and think it’s a shame what our politics have become.”

“I would cast a vote for Newt Gingrich for President.”

“I think they are all lying, cheating crooks robbing America for there own gain. They couldn’t relate to what the truth is or us tell the truth if there pathetic lives or there families lives depended on it .” – Homeowner feedback

“I strongly approve of Obama because the Tea Party Republicans scare the #### out of me and I’ve been a Republican for over 40 years and have run for elective office as a Republican.” – Homeowner feedback

“President Obama has the skill and leadership to prayerfully guide our country in the best direction. Romney and all of his super rich comrades only have greed for their own personal wealth, not what is good for the USA. ” – Homeowner feedback

“Unless our citizens start demanding their freedom back, it really doesn’t matter who wins the presidential bid. The constitution has already been trampled and the government has become primarily a wealth redistribution engine. Frankly, I think it is too late as the number of people drawing benefits from the government are sufficiently numerous to change course until the issue is forced by economic depression and government bankruptcy.” – Homeowner feedback

“The lesser of three evils . There is really no one to vote for . Don’t like any of them.” – Homeowner feedback

“Nobody OR no president is capable of fixing the problems in the US. It’s out of control and so are all the politicians and representatives. It’s a shame.” – Homeowner feedback

Question 13:

See regional results

Agent Commentary From Question 13 — If the Presidential election were held today, who would you vote for?

“I refuse to vote for either one of the candidates.”

“Both candidates are a poor choice and looks like we are headed to communism.” – Homeowner feedback

##

View the complete HomeGain Home Values and Presidential Approval poll archives here

*Regions are divided as follows:

  • Northeast: Maine, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Vermont, Connecticut, Rhode Island, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Maryland and West Virginia
  • Southeast: Virginia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Mississippi and Tennessee
  • Mid-West: Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Wyoming, Colorado, New Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Louisiana, Arkansas and Missouri
  • West: Alaska, Hawaii, California, Washington, Oregon, Nevada, Arizona, Utah, Idaho and Montana

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Louis Cammarosano

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3 Comments on “HomeGain Releases 2nd Quarter 2012 National Home Values Survey Results”

arizona real estate

Good article, I don not know for sure who will help the market more in the next election. But the real estate market has been climbing with the president we have now….

Inter M Properties

Thank you for the very insightful information of the current situation of the property market in the states. Also here in Europe we have been experiencing a very similar situation. We can only speak about the situation in Cyprus, were the prices have gone down, the market is relatively steady, although the development is going down and people are more interested in buying resales.

Inter M Properties

http://www.intermproperties.com

Ryan Nelson

This is great info, here in Phoenix we have seen about an 20%-28% increase in values during the first half of 2012. Much if this is due to the drastic inventory shortage, none the less these values will be the sales comps for the next 6 months; thus fueling the recovery.

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